Belief-in-belief
Carl Sagan parable: dragon in garage. Someone claims they have one. Fascinating—let's set out for it at once!
Sagan's moral: fast footwork
Eliezer's moral: there's a correct model of reality somewhere in their head
Not all beliefs are direct anticipations. (But they have consequences which are anticipations, if they're rational – but many ppl keep a pool of propositional beliefs from which they don't demand rent, which can contradict each other. The virtue of empiricism is a countermeasure. Anyway, there's no answer to "but what do they really believe?" because minds are tangled.)
"Belief" is not limited to verbal sentences, it includes all anticipation-controllers.
What links here
- Human heuristics, biases and fallacies
- Teaching examples used by Yudkowsky
- *Belief in Belief
- "It's raining outside but I don't believe it is"
- TODO *Don't Believe You'll Self-Deceive
Created
(17 months ago)