A concept for autism:

Ideally, individuals with autism have some coping and calming strategies in their repertoire of skills to access with support during their most anxious times. These may include rocking in a rocking chair, listening to music in headphones, deep breathing, watching a preferred video clip, brief periods of vigorous exercise, or acccessing a favorite activity or material.

Ensure that the individual has ample access to these calming activities.

They may be scheduled regularly across the day in the initial weeks of change, then, if appropriate, caregivers may introduce a self-mgmt plan that helps individals track their anxious responses and identify when the calming strategies are needed.

For people with ADHD, a similar idea is conscious Stimming, i.e. using a pre-planned stimming behavior. Another general one is HALT (Hungry, Angry, Lonely, Tired).

• Beyond p-values

• millionshort.com/
• crawlcrawler.com/
• wiby.me/
• boardreader.com/
• search.marginalia.nu/
• metager.org/
• andisearch.com/

As an alternative, simply filtering results can remove lots of noise:

• addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/hohser/
• addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/ddg-hide-unwanted-results/
• greasyfork.org/en/scripts/1682-google-hit-hider-by-domain-search-filter-block-sites

#statistics

In the "classical" (frequentist) approach, the concept of probability is the limit (the stable value converged-on) of a long-run frequency of a thing relative to another thing. For an event A, one's uncertainty about its occurrence is calculated like in elementary school probability math, as the ratio of the number of times the event occurred to the number of trials.

If we roll a die many times, it will come up showing the number two approximately a sixth of the time, thus the probability of showing that number will be $\Pr(two) = 1/6$ . The probability is objective, it is a characteristic of objects (e.g. of the dice) and cannot differ for different subjects.

Straightforward in the case of dice, but…

There are some concerns to this definition of probability. First, considering the probability of event A as a frequency means that we are only able to calculate it if we know the entire sample space Ω. Second, this definition is based on the concept of repeatability, which is not necessarily a characteristic of the event of interest: for instance the events "Caesar crossed the Rubicon" or "The next US president will be a woman" do not satisfy this assumption as they can only happen once. You see why, if Bayesian probability theory gives you the tools to quantify your guess about such events, it can be used to fuel decisions in your life where frequentist cannot.

I think it may be a good idea whenever you write papers and articles to use the term "probability" and notation "Pr[]" only when using the Bayesian definition thereof. Since objective probability does not exist to a Bayesian, it is confusing for a Bayesian to be posited to calculate Pr[Pr[a] > 0.10], a probability of a probability. Better to write Pr[Freq[a] > 0.10], keeping track of what we are talking about.

Technically, you can call limits of long-run frequencies a probability, since a Bayesian can produce the same number in special cases such as throwing dice, when he has no other information to go on and uses something called an uniform prior. Thus the notation Freq[a] is a renamed Pr[a] that meets specific conditions. Perhaps you could write that Freq[a] == Pr[a | uniform prior ∩ repeatable event ∩ trust in sources (like the provider of your dice) ∩ no knowledge ∩ whatever else], making it clear that Freq[a] is a shorthand if anything and that it is an abuse on the reader to merely say Pr[a] when you mean the aforementioned things. Though there may be no way to rigorously define Freq[a] as any edition of Pr[a], look up Lindley's paradox to be sure.